How will the COVID-19 pandemic develop in the coming months and years?

Summary 

The article, published in The Lancet Regional Health Europe, can be found below. I recommend that you at least look at the pictures that perfectly visualize Finland's success in the fight against the COVID19 pandemic.

The article itself is heavy, so I summarized the most important things with illustrator Riina Rupponen in Finnish. The summary can be found at the end in PDF format.

It goes through the different variables and how they all affect the outcome.

The summary also presents scenarios for this summer (which no longer has much to predict), next fall, and the following years.

In the Finnish media, various experts have given their views on different scenarios for how the pandemic will develop in the coming months and years. Some experts suggest abandoning all COVID19 activities, while others call for caution.

So what should we do? And what all influences the decisions? Why do previous predictions about herd protection and adequacy of vaccine coverage have to be rejected?

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